World News: Ukraine Moves to Protect Itself Through NATO and EU Memberships

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Category: World News - Europe

Published on Thursday, 07 July 2022 19:01

Written by Olivier Longhi

Ukraine's candidacy as a member of the European Union offers the latter a diplomatic solution that satisfies both Kiev and Moscow, with Russia still very allergic to NATO and indifferent to the European Union.

By accepting Ukraine's candidacy as a Member State of the European Union, the European Commission and Parliament are embarking on a very cautious path, in view of the current geopolitical and diplomatic situation. Several reasons lie for this analysis, which highlights, while the Ukrainian crisis tended to prove the opposite, a form of reluctance on the part of the twenty-seven.

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Thus, by accepting the integration of Ukraine into the European Union in an accession protocol that is spread over ten years during which the reconstruction of the country and the fight against the endemic corruption that is eating away at the country will have to be undertaken, Brussels is offering itself a solution at a lower cost. In concrete terms, integrating Ukraine into the Union is always better than integrating it into NATO, to which Ukraine is also a candidate.

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The consequences of Ukraine's planned, and effective accession will be less than an entry into NATO capable of bristling Vladimir Putin, who is genuinely allergic to the Atlantic DefenseOrganization. The absence of military risk and related escalation are not without reassuring Europeans who are counting on an early end to the conflict. While it is very likely that a way out will only be found in the course of 2023, it is almost certain that the military and active part of the conflict will be closed by 2032.

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At the same time, the European Union also knows that, as powerful and dangerous as he is, Vladimir Putin is in no way eternal and that his succession will eventually arise one day. The successor of the current master of the Kremlin will have before him the need to restore healthy diplomatic relations with the European Union and the United States, the entry of Ukraine into the single market then appearing more as a border economic opportunity than as a problem.

At the same time, integrating Ukraine into the European Union also allows the latter to free itself from a new political and diplomatic crisis. Political because the Union demonstrates its ability to enlarge even in the face of the threat of the Russian giant, diplomatic because it proves that it knows how to circumvent the obstacle of NATO to ensure a certain security because Vladimir Putin's Russia or his successors will never dare to attack a country of the European Union.

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Finally, which opens up a kind of boulevard for the Union, the fact that Vladimir Putin is making a mockery of the European Union, which in his eyes is only an economic space in which to sell its gas and oil. Concerned to date by the annexation of the pro-Russian Ukrainian republics, Vladimir Putin does not hide his contempt for a whole, the European Union, in his eyes almost insignificant on the diplomatic level because all the time supported by the United States. It remains to be seen, however, whether this accession, for the moment at the draft stage, will still be appreciated by Russia as an avatar without direct effect in the years to come. With or without Vladimir Putin.

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Bio: Olivier Longhi has extensive experience in European history. A seasoned journalist with fifteen years of experience, he is currently professor of history and geography in the Toulouse region of France. He has held a variety of publishing positions, including Head of Agency and Chief of Publishing. A journalist, recognized blogger, editor, and editorial project manager, he has trained and managed editorial teams, worked as a journalist for various local radio stations, a press and publishing consultant, and a communications consultant.